fgdf2
0xd4180dc52d30d1e694c8ab6515a569401e8c51e0
- Realised P&L
- $14.81
- Volume
- $38.5k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $36.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 21-27? · No | 0.965 | 0.974 | $36.02 | +$0.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.04at 0.910Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 7-13?
- +$0.96at 0.972Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6?
- +$0.50at 0.950MetaMask airdrop in Q1 2025?
- +$0.47at 0.988Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on August 11?
- +$0.46at 0.987Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 15:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on September 19? | BUY | 0.997 | $34.90 |
| 09-14 15:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.99 | $34.65 |
| 09-14 02:26 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.991 | $34.69 |
| 09-10 15:14 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 10? | BUY | 0.995 | $31.84 |
| 09-09 15:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.989 | $31.64 |
| 09-07 01:26 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.993 | $30.78 |
| 09-07 01:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 August 31-September 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $30.97 |
| 08-30 15:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.994 | $29.82 |
| 08-28 02:27 | Will Solana reach $115 on August 27? | BUY | 0.989 | $29.67 |
| 08-27 15:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 27? | BUY | 0.995 | $29.85 |
| 08-20 15:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 20? | BUY | 0.994 | $40.93 |
| 08-17 06:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 17? | BUY | 0.988 | $40.01 |
| 08-17 01:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 10-16? | BUY | 0.998 | $39.92 |
| 08-15 09:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $39.20 |
| 08-14 03:23 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 14? | BUY | 0.988 | $38.73 |