Annihilation
0xd416d3309f75426c82a5158cdcb209780af2d9e2
- Realised P&L
- $6.3k
- Volume
- $509.2k
- Markets traded
- 411
- Open portfolio
- $4.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded411
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.246Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Audio Design at the 2025 Game Awards?
- +$826.68at 0.928Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
- +$783.31at 0.850Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?
- +$761.44at 0.410Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
- +$741.45at 0.717Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:46 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.12 |
| 08-02 22:13 | Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.17 | $30.79 |
| 08-02 18:45 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.999 | $204.79 |
| 08-02 18:45 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.9988894371 | $198.40 |
| 08-02 17:15 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $3.64 |
| 08-02 02:50 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.41 | $50.84 |
| 08-02 02:20 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | SELL | 0.95 | $0.02 |
| 08-02 02:19 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | SELL | 0.9600250389 | $2.0k |
| 08-02 02:18 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? | SELL | 0.43 | $43.21 |
| 08-02 02:17 | Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? | SELL | 0.78 | $3.90 |
| 08-02 02:17 | Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.82 |
| 08-02 02:13 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.59 | $472.00 |
| 08-02 01:51 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $634.82 |
| 08-02 00:50 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.25 | $21.96 |
| 08-02 00:50 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |