Annihilation
0xd416d3309f75426c82a5158cdcb209780af2d9e2
- Realised P&L
- $6.4k
- Volume
- $660.9k
- Markets traded
- 527
- Open portfolio
- $9.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded527
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.246Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Audio Design at the 2025 Game Awards?
- +$857.12at 0.576Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?
- +$826.68at 0.928Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
- +$783.31at 0.850Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?
- +$761.42at 0.410Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:04 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.4958841371 | $81.75 |
| 11-01 22:03 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.522126835 | $203.44 |
| 11-01 22:03 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.520625 | $41.65 |
| 10-31 10:23 | Will Kodak Black be featured on GTA VI: The Album? | BUY | 0.67 | $124.69 |
| 10-31 10:22 | Will Don Toliver be featured on GTA VI: The Album? | SELL | 0.82 | $148.87 |
| 10-31 10:06 | Will Don Toliver be featured on GTA VI: The Album? | SELL | 0.81 | $448.74 |
| 10-31 08:29 | Will Bad Bunny be featured on GTA VI: The Album? | BUY | 0.4 | $56.00 |
| 10-31 08:29 | Will Bad Bunny be featured on GTA VI: The Album? | BUY | 0.4 | $24.00 |
| 10-31 04:32 | Will Shang-Chi die in Avengers: Doomsday? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.59 |
| 10-30 21:20 | Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.54 | $8.26 |
| 10-30 21:19 | Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man? | BUY | 0.67 | $105.49 |
| 10-30 05:26 | Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? | BUY | 0.89 | $169.99 |
| 10-30 04:52 | Will Kodak Black be featured on GTA VI: The Album? | SELL | 0.615 | $24.60 |
| 10-30 03:06 | Will Kodak Black be featured on GTA VI: The Album? | BUY | 0.65 | $13.00 |
| 10-29 10:40 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $145.80 |