MatthewPatterson4888
0xd40d3f012c37931810361f92344f2ed398c1b2fa
- Realised P&L
- $79.00
- Volume
- $211.1k
- Markets traded
- 379
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded379
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$121.56at 0.689Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?
- +$121.56at 0.660Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
- +$81.32at 0.430Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?
- +$68.79at 0.160Will ENA: Dream BBQ win Outstanding Visual Style at the 2025 Steam Awards?
- +$58.28at 0.536Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 04:58 | Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? | SELL | 0.101 | $3.03 |
| 04-21 04:41 | Deel IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.68 | $34.00 |
| 04-21 04:39 | Deel IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.67 | $55.61 |
| 04-21 03:35 | Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $6.67 |
| 02-08 19:41 | Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? | SELL | 0.805 | $66.81 |
| 02-08 16:21 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $79.35 |
| 02-08 11:34 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $12.96 |
| 02-08 11:33 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $454.50 |
| 01-11 14:38 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.53 | $60.95 |
| 01-11 13:14 | Cerebras IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.28 | $93.80 |
| 01-11 09:49 | Will Keon Ellis be traded this season? | SELL | 0.16 | $18.56 |
| 01-11 08:31 | Databricks IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.34 | $280.84 |
| 01-11 08:27 | Databricks IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.34 | $43.52 |
| 01-11 07:43 | Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes? | SELL | 0.7 | $72.10 |
| 01-11 07:40 | Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? | SELL | 0.63 | $182.07 |