PolyBot

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Traders

MatthewPatterson4888

0xd40d3f012c37931810361f92344f2ed398c1b2fa

Realised P&L
$79.00
Volume
$211.1k
Markets traded
379
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded379
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Databricks IPO before 2027? · No0.3400.972$927.29+$602.93
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026? · No0.3000.910$236.22+$158.34
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7400.095$59.85−$406.35
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026? · Yes0.7300.090$23.40−$166.40
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.7900.785$11.78−$0.07
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.1800.135$6.88−$2.29
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? · No0.3401.000$5.00+$3.30
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B? · Yes0.7600.037$0.07−$1.45
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B? · Yes0.3900.043$0.04−$0.35
Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1700.026$0.03−$0.14
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? · No0.4820.000$0.00−$1.10
Will Naz Reid win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year? · Yes0.1080.000$0.00−$3.24
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%? · No0.3100.000$0.00−$0.31
Will Odisea win 2025 Uniswap Cup? · Yes0.0810.000$0.00−$5.91
Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025? · No0.0220.000$0.00−$1.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-21 04:58Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?SELL0.101$3.03
04-21 04:41Deel IPO before 2027?SELL0.68$34.00
04-21 04:39Deel IPO before 2027?SELL0.67$55.61
04-21 03:35Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?SELL0.74$6.67
02-08 19:41Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?SELL0.805$66.81
02-08 16:21Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?SELL0.69$79.35
02-08 11:34Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.54$12.96
02-08 11:33Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.45$454.50
01-11 14:38Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.53$60.95
01-11 13:14Cerebras IPO before 2027?SELL0.28$93.80
01-11 09:49Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?SELL0.16$18.56
01-11 08:31Databricks IPO before 2027?BUY0.34$280.84
01-11 08:27Databricks IPO before 2027?BUY0.34$43.52
01-11 07:43Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?SELL0.7$72.10
01-11 07:40Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?SELL0.63$182.07