qiuqiu66
0xd40b1d84e3e481334293420b623ebffd1d31d5e4
- Realised P&L
- $-16.00
- Volume
- $180.9k
- Markets traded
- 641
- Open portfolio
- $216.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded641
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 29? · No | 0.990 | 0.985 | $216.90 | −$1.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.08at 0.795Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 30?
- +$14.13at 0.920Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on March 27?
- +$9.06at 0.963Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on August 19?
- +$7.88at 0.979Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 7?
- +$7.20at 0.920Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 23:40 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.99 | $218.00 |
| 09-22 23:37 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.9940965172 | $217.00 |
| 09-21 23:22 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.9899999903 | $50.00 |
| 09-20 23:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $266.00 |
| 09-19 23:35 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.99 | $264.00 |
| 09-18 00:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C or higher on September 19? | BUY | 0.9988668176 | $120.00 |
| 09-18 00:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $140.00 |
| 09-16 23:52 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.9986526395 | $152.00 |
| 09-15 23:57 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $110.50 |
| 09-14 23:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.9981830896 | $262.00 |
| 09-13 23:33 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.9989999994 | $254.60 |
| 09-10 23:26 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C or higher on September 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $57.50 |
| 09-10 00:23 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.99 | $259.00 |
| 09-09 00:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.9949512011 | $258.00 |
| 09-06 23:55 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or below on September 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $257.00 |