PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xD409E6eC8bbbFFe7F13c9Ea3145386C837D3cb8A-1770619339745

0xd409e6ec8bbbffe7f13c9ea3145386c837d3cb8a

Realised P&L
$-331.93
Volume
$8.5k
Markets traded
61
Open portfolio
$1.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded61
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2920.015$1.03$18.97
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET · Down0.1040.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET · Down0.0870.000$0.00$6.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET · Down0.0400.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Up0.5780.000$0.00$164.81
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET · Up0.5780.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET · Down0.8800.000$0.00$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET · Up0.1390.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET · Up0.0700.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET · Down0.0320.000$0.00$0.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET · Up0.1060.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET · Down0.3160.000$0.00$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET · Up0.3060.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-21 13:31Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.2923834032$20.00
05-03 13:00Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
05-02 11:09Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETBUY0.8799999996$100.00
05-02 11:00Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETSELL0.99$112.92
05-02 10:58Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.876703594$100.00
05-02 10:50Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETSELL0.99$41.83
05-02 10:47Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETBUY0.7099999953$30.00
05-02 10:41Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETBUY0.2277137219$5.00
05-01 12:58Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY0.5009619421$100.00
05-01 10:49Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETBUY0.0732898889$5.00
05-01 10:48Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETBUY0.0416666667$1.00
05-01 10:48Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETBUY0.96$5.00
05-01 10:38Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETBUY0.105765145$5.00
05-01 10:33Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETBUY0.16$5.00
05-01 10:27Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETBUY0.0299999943$5.00