PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

orderhere

0xd40985bf11201940cac1df71b3a16557cf9daddb

Realised P&L
$-3.36
Volume
$191.19
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$7.79

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Asian Games Men: Pakistan vs India · Pakistan0.2200.195$1.77−$0.23
Asian Games Men: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka · Sri Lanka0.3500.190$1.09−$0.91
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 4? · Yes0.1500.160$1.07+$0.07
Calgary Stampeders vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders · Calgary Stampeders0.3200.325$1.02+$0.02
West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West Indies · West Indies0.1600.155$0.97−$0.03
West Indies Women Tour of Zimbabwe T20s: Zimbabwe Women vs West Indies Women · Zimbabwe Women0.1900.175$0.92−$0.08
World Championship of Legends: Pakistan Champions vs Bangladesh Champions · Bangladesh Champions0.3900.330$0.85−$0.15
Liberty vs. Delaware · Delaware0.3000.034$0.11−$0.89
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET · Down0.4800.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET · Down0.7000.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 21:50World Championship of Legends: Pakistan Champions vs Bangladesh ChampionsBUY0.3899999337$1.00
10-02 21:48Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 4?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
10-02 21:45Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETSELL0.37$0.68
10-02 21:44Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETBUY0.5399999568$1.00
10-02 21:40Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETBUY0.64$1.00
10-02 21:40Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETSELL0.47$0.81
10-02 21:39Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETBUY0.5799999768$1.00
10-02 21:35Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETBUY0.4799998464$1.00
10-02 21:32Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETBUY0.7$1.00
10-02 21:32Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETSELL0.33$0.77
10-02 21:31Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETBUY0.4299998882$1.00
10-02 21:31Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETSELL0.57$2.28
10-02 21:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETBUY0.5$2.00
10-02 21:28Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETSELL0.93$1.54
10-02 21:26Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETBUY0.59999988$1.00