PolyBot

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Traders

krusaderlk

0xd4050dcb2030366b185baf9b55cb6bbbd2957392

Realised P&L
$45.29
Volume
$7.7k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$19.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? · No0.5060.500$9.88$0.12
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · No0.5100.500$9.80$0.20
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? · Yes0.6530.150$0.23$0.77
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$10.00
Will Schlep be unbanned from Roblox before October? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET · Up0.6020.000$0.00$26.50
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1850.000$0.00$10.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2260.000$0.00$10.00
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18? · Up0.0590.000$0.00$49.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET · Up0.3100.000$0.00$17.21
Tea App removed from App Store by August 31? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$10.00
David Baszucki out as Roblox CEO in 2025? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET · Up0.2680.000$0.00$26.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 20:14Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.005$10.00
07-19 20:13Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.4$33.90
07-19 20:13Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.6$10.31
07-14 21:49Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2259999856$10.00
07-14 21:49Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5819999955$10.00
07-01 17:13Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.0989999118$1.00
07-01 05:15Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.0210000001$10.00
07-01 04:49Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?SELL0.966$1.00
07-01 04:48Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.1$7.30
06-24 19:01Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.108$8.37
06-19 00:02Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?BUY0.6529993627$1.00
06-19 00:00Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?BUY0.9609996723$1.00
06-18 23:59Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?BUY0.7799999813$5.00
06-18 23:58Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?BUY0.6599999604$5.00
06-18 23:57Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.5059999968$10.00