krusaderlk
0xd4050dcb2030366b185baf9b55cb6bbbd2957392
- Realised P&L
- $45.29
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $19.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$131.58at 0.704Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
- +$120.35at 0.715Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
- +$119.03at 0.681Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
- +$117.84at 0.696Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
- +$107.63at 0.650Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 20:14 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 20:13 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.4 | $33.90 |
| 07-19 20:13 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.6 | $10.31 |
| 07-14 21:49 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2259999856 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 21:49 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5819999955 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 17:13 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.0989999118 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 05:15 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.0210000001 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 04:49 | Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement? | SELL | 0.966 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 04:48 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.1 | $7.30 |
| 06-24 19:01 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.108 | $8.37 |
| 06-19 00:02 | Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? | BUY | 0.6529993627 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 00:00 | Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.9609996723 | $1.00 |
| 06-18 23:59 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | BUY | 0.7799999813 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 23:58 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? | BUY | 0.6599999604 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 23:57 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5059999968 | $10.00 |