0xd404Ee93DE47C1383DF8D0221175C658342cb4EB-1775423128854
0xd404ee93de47c1383df8d0221175c658342cb4eb
- Realised P&L
- $431.80
- Volume
- $198.3k
- Markets traded
- 212
- Open portfolio
- $255.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded212
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.045 | $255.37 | +$43.71 |
| Spread: Netherlands (-2.5) · Netherlands | 0.054 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.425 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$400.00 |
| Spread: France (-1.5) · France | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5) · Tottenham Hotspur FC | 0.128 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| World Championships: Canada vs. Norway · Norway | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$59.54 |
| Will Kalmar FF win on 2026-08-01? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Spread: England (-3.5) · England | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$86.06 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET · Down | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bukayo Saka: 1+ assists · Yes | 0.219 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Spread: GIF Sundsvall (-1.5) · GIF Sundsvall | 0.117 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$76.68 |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners · Over | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.13 |
| Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Spread: Senegal (-1.5) · Senegal | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.436Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
- +$1.1kat 0.084Michael Olise: 2+ assists
- +$842.81at 0.484Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?
- +$825.17at 0.420Will RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?
- +$683.66at 0.372Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 11:29 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0423326342 | $23.30 |
| 09-18 08:02 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0409999998 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 07:24 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0423995785 | $140.60 |
| 09-17 15:32 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0262153717 | $46.77 |
| 09-16 17:02 | Will AIK win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.4099999989 | $75.87 |
| 09-16 13:42 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.0955046369 | $79.30 |
| 09-15 19:03 | Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 5.5 Corners | BUY | 0.5899999995 | $522.02 |
| 09-15 18:59 | Will Landskrona BoIS win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.999 | $533.90 |
| 09-15 15:15 | Will Landskrona BoIS win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.7099999996 | $379.45 |
| 09-15 15:13 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.12 | $400.00 |
| 09-14 20:35 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.12 | $400.00 |
| 09-14 19:16 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.4299999997 | $310.00 |
| 09-14 19:16 | Will Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.29 | $310.71 |
| 09-14 18:27 | Will Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999999 | $300.00 |
| 09-14 18:23 | Spread: Djurgardens IF (-1.5) | SELL | 0.9 | $644.02 |