Tugsbank2
0xd401510ac5859229af76aa19fca329fc7ae53fa5
- Realised P&L
- $-136.55
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 166
- Open portfolio
- $90.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded166
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.24at 0.373Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli
- +$14.56at 0.635Set 2 Winner: Dimitrov vs Fery
- +$13.18at 0.341Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 2?
- +$7.70at 0.115Will it rain in Boston, MA on September 14?
- +$7.35at 0.204Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 04:26 | Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on October 5? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 10-05 04:06 | Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on October 5? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 10-05 00:37 | Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on October 5? | SELL | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 10-05 00:28 | Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on October 4? | BUY | 0.96 | $17.28 |
| 10-05 00:27 | Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on October 4? | BUY | 0.96 | $19.20 |
| 10-05 00:26 | Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on October 5? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 10-05 00:26 | Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on October 4? | BUY | 0.96 | $19.20 |
| 10-05 00:25 | Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on October 4? | BUY | 0.96 | $19.20 |
| 10-04 23:59 | Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on October 5? | SELL | 0.61 | $4.88 |
| 10-04 23:56 | Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on October 5? | SELL | 0.61 | $7.32 |
| 10-04 19:55 | Will it rain in Boston, MA on October 4? | SELL | 0.2466666667 | $4.44 |
| 10-04 19:23 | Will it rain in Boston, MA on October 4? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 10-04 18:21 | Will it rain in Boston, MA on October 5? | SELL | 0.943 | $18.86 |
| 10-04 18:20 | Will it rain in Boston, MA on October 5? | SELL | 0.943 | $18.86 |
| 10-04 17:40 | Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 4? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |