PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd3fe4361eb8e9ada782235f3e269b166f143532d

0xd3fe4361eb8e9ada782235f3e269b166f143532d

Realised P&L
$-18.10
Volume
$156.96
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$1.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-11.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? · Up0.3300.310$0.94−$0.06
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes0.4900.050$0.10−$0.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 03:09SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-14 07:08Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-13 22:51Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.4899998383$1.00
10-11 08:33Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-10 21:59Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.8B?BUY0.7399996448$1.00
10-07 00:38Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
09-24 19:280 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-20 22:44Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.4299999512$2.29
09-19 06:04Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.3699998854$1.13
09-17 06:06Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.3699999897$1.44
09-16 10:04WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 16?BUY0.2599999796$2.29
09-16 02:04Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.7299999841$2.29
09-10 00:08US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.4599999879$2.29
09-08 15:25US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.6299999367$2.29
09-08 00:36Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.6499999858$2.29