0xd3fe4361eb8e9ada782235f3e269b166f143532d
0xd3fe4361eb8e9ada782235f3e269b166f143532d
- Realised P&L
- $-18.10
- Volume
- $156.96
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $1.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? · Up | 0.330 | 0.310 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.050 | $0.10 | −$0.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.91at 0.550Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.83at 0.560Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during remarks in New York?
- +$1.43at 0.620Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during Tele-Rally?
- +$1.34at 0.630US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$1.20at 0.659SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 03:09 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 07:08 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 22:51 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 08:33 | Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:59 | Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.8B? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 00:38 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:28 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 22:44 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999512 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 06:04 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699998854 | $1.13 |
| 09-17 06:06 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3699999897 | $1.44 |
| 09-16 10:04 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.2599999796 | $2.29 |
| 09-16 02:04 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999841 | $2.29 |
| 09-10 00:08 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.4599999879 | $2.29 |
| 09-08 15:25 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.6299999367 | $2.29 |
| 09-08 00:36 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999858 | $2.29 |