0xd3FE197026e196E3D5a8f7e3E84fDD0D55fc6800-1783087461335
0xd3fe197026e196e3d5a8f7e3e84fdd0d55fc6800
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $18.5k
- Markets traded
- 336
- Open portfolio
- $81.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded336
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.29at 0.490Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 2?
- +$50.16at 0.100Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?
- +$24.29at 0.181Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 2?
- +$16.24at 0.319Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
- +$15.78at 0.558Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-23 19:09 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5667490133 | $38.77 |
| 05-23 19:04 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $10.00 |
| 05-23 19:04 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $10.00 |
| 05-23 19:04 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $10.00 |
| 05-23 19:02 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |
| 05-23 19:02 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |
| 05-23 17:44 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 05-23 17:44 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 05-23 17:20 | Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | SELL | 0.718 | $8.21 |
| 05-23 17:10 | Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | SELL | 0.5128443878 | $4.02 |
| 05-23 16:57 | Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | SELL | 0.347 | $0.64 |
| 05-23 16:36 | Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | SELL | 0.753 | $0.41 |
| 05-23 16:24 | Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | SELL | 0.332 | $0.61 |
| 05-23 16:18 | Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | SELL | 0.649 | $0.75 |
| 05-23 16:05 | Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | SELL | 0.745 | $0.86 |