PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

lagerskoy

0xd3fe05d0229fe34dca2affb6d0c8b5870f43a403

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$39.6k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$452.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.2900.040$199.90$1.3k
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.2000.055$137.50$362.50
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.5000.115$115.00$385.00
Will Stable launch a token in 2025? · No0.0650.000$0.00$65.00
Will Team Spirit win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$18.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-25 17:04Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?BUY0.954$685.25
11-25 11:30US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?SELL0.07$2.52
11-16 11:15Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 WinnerSELL0.24$24.00
11-11 13:13Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?SELL0.5$50.00
10-30 15:32Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)SELL0.99$106.08
10-30 13:00Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?SELL0.99$989.99
10-29 20:55Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?SELL0.68$476.00
10-29 12:34Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?BUY0.66$198.00
10-24 14:19Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?BUY0.618$123.60
10-24 12:58Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in October 2025?SELL0.1$4.13
10-24 12:57Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in October 2025?SELL0.17$51.81
10-24 12:57Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in October 2025?SELL0.19$1.90
10-23 15:09Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?SELL0.16$96.71
10-23 15:07Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?SELL0.1701247474$68.19
10-23 13:14Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.13$146.74