PolyBot

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Traders

lagerskoy

0xd3fe05d0229fe34dca2affb6d0c8b5870f43a403

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$39.6k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$571.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.2900.061$308.71$1.2k
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.2000.055$137.50$362.50
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.5000.125$125.00$375.00
Will Stable launch a token in 2025? · No0.0650.000$0.00$65.00
Will Team Spirit win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$18.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-25 17:04Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?BUY0.954$685.25
11-25 11:30US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?SELL0.07$2.52
11-16 11:15Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 WinnerSELL0.24$24.00
11-11 13:13Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?SELL0.5$50.00
10-30 15:32Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)SELL0.99$106.08
10-30 13:00Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?SELL0.99$989.99
10-29 20:55Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?SELL0.68$476.00
10-29 12:34Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?BUY0.66$198.00
10-24 14:19Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?BUY0.618$123.60
10-24 12:58Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in October 2025?SELL0.1$4.13
10-24 12:57Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in October 2025?SELL0.17$51.81
10-24 12:57Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in October 2025?SELL0.19$1.90
10-23 15:09Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?SELL0.16$96.71
10-23 15:07Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?SELL0.1701247474$68.19
10-23 13:14Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.13$146.74