maxwayne
0xd3f7b5fc00074e1aeef4f0399cb0fc5d12f80586
- Realised P&L
- $-54.85
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $7.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.145 | $4.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.160 | $1.78 | −$0.22 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · Yes | 0.014 | 0.013 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.237 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance · Switzerland | 0.227 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.45at 0.470England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$14.27at 0.612Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$13.26at 0.598Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-3.23at 0.441Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
- +$-5.65at 0.425Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:16 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.0139999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:15 | Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 05:12 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 07-26 18:27 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | SELL | 0.168 | $1.95 |
| 07-23 01:14 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | BUY | 0.4309999537 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 00:54 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $36.82 |
| 07-20 00:54 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $38.76 |
| 07-18 01:44 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6 | $22.12 |
| 07-18 01:43 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.4 | $23.24 |
| 07-17 07:10 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5859999749 | $22.74 |
| 07-17 07:09 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4129999909 | $24.00 |
| 07-17 07:07 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.412 | $49.13 |
| 07-16 12:23 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4169999976 | $49.73 |
| 07-16 12:22 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.579 | $52.40 |
| 07-16 06:39 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.58 | $52.49 |