0xd3ee9e45f799fa16a6913dc2933e9bd0117c23a6
0xd3ee9e45f799fa16a6913dc2933e9bd0117c23a6
- Realised P&L
- $-609.96
- Volume
- $8.9k
- Markets traded
- 261
- Open portfolio
- $226.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded261
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on September 24? · No | 0.890 | 0.950 | $85.39 | +$5.39 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24? · No | 0.890 | 0.935 | $78.95 | +$3.80 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 25? · No | 0.860 | 0.845 | $61.77 | −$1.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.05at 0.844Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on April 1?
- +$22.75at 0.815Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 6?
- +$21.53at 0.281Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 1?
- +$20.83at 0.669Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 1?
- +$20.13at 0.592Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 00:06 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.86 | $62.87 |
| 09-23 04:06 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.89 | $79.99 |
| 09-23 00:06 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.89 | $75.15 |
| 09-21 16:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.88 | $122.79 |
| 09-21 11:24 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.85 | $6.80 |
| 09-20 04:06 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or higher on September 21? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 09-20 02:05 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 21? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 09-17 04:15 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.88 | $14.08 |
| 09-15 00:08 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9 | $7.90 |
| 09-14 02:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.88 | $11.06 |
| 09-13 14:15 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.82 | $7.75 |
| 09-11 10:06 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.89 | $5.14 |
| 09-10 04:02 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.9 | $8.40 |
| 09-07 00:15 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.9 | $7.81 |
| 09-06 22:15 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.88 |