PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd3ee806b2165664645c8170a213dc0f35aeaa439

Realised P&L
$6.94
Volume
$206.93
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$27.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 23:30Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.3399999966$2.00
09-15 15:14Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.3839999508$2.00
09-15 07:13Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.68$2.00
09-14 22:59Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?BUY0.7499999063$2.00
09-14 14:44Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.77$2.00
09-14 14:43Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.2399999808$2.00
09-14 08:29Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
09-14 08:27Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.8199999836$1.00
09-14 06:43Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.75$2.00
09-13 22:36Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.4$2.00
09-13 14:04Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.78$2.00
09-13 04:00Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?BUY0.5299999868$2.00
09-12 18:44Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?BUY0.419999979$2.00
09-12 18:36Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?BUY0.5899999145$2.00
09-12 04:32Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.2699999784$2.00