0xd3ee806b2165664645c8170a213dc0f35aeaa439
- Realised P&L
- $6.94
- Volume
- $206.93
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $27.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.33at 0.280Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$4.60at 0.310Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$1.73at 0.542Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?
- +$1.35at 0.602Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?
- +$0.75at 0.730Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 23:30 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 15:14 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3839999508 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 07:13 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $170 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 22:59 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.7499999063 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 14:44 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 14:43 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 08:29 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 08:27 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 06:43 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 22:36 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 14:04 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 04:00 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 18:44 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.419999979 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 18:36 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999145 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 04:32 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |