PolyBot

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Traders

Rollingpennies01

0xd3ec93fee0e1fa3f80c0e8585a599ac1bdfcb862

Realised P&L
$30.51
Volume
$5.2k
Markets traded
226
Open portfolio
$117.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded226
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 29? · No0.9500.989$9.89+$0.39
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 29? · No0.9700.980$9.79+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 29? · No0.9600.970$9.70+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 29? · No0.9400.955$9.54+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 29? · No0.9300.945$9.45+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 29? · No0.9200.860$8.60−$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on September 28? · No0.9210.855$8.54−$0.67
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 29? · No0.9500.981$6.86+$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 28? · No0.9600.994$5.96+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 28? · No0.9600.980$5.88+$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 28? · No0.9300.973$5.84+$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 28? · No0.9700.972$5.83+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 28? · No0.9300.930$5.58+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 28? · No0.9500.909$5.44−$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on September 28? · No0.8900.955$4.78+$0.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 15:09Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 29?SELL0.999$9.98
09-28 12:28Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 28?SELL0.999$5.98
09-28 10:09Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on September 28?BUY0.001$0.72
09-28 10:03Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 28?BUY0.001$1.95
09-28 07:57Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 28?SELL0.999$0.01
09-28 07:40Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 28?SELL0.999$1.11
09-28 07:28Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 28?SELL0.001$0.01
09-28 05:34Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 28?SELL0.999$5.97
09-28 03:03Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 28?SELL0.999$5.98
09-27 21:01Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on September 27?SELL0.999$5.98
09-27 19:00Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 27?SELL0.999$5.98
09-27 17:09Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 27?SELL0.999$5.98
09-27 16:59Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 27?SELL0.999$5.97
09-27 14:08Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 27?SELL0.999$11.98
09-27 11:57Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 27?SELL0.999$5.98