gtuhgr
0xd3e7ab88cf1289351057d7434c9b0ba4c1bf1064
- Realised P&L
- $96.24
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $58.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB reach $1,200 in October? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $51.92 | −$0.03 |
| Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $6.99 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$103.50at 0.400SpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 10?
- +$49.75at 0.504SpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025?
- +$48.35at 0.523Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?
- +$45.16at 0.665Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$6.52at 0.983Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 10:52 | Will BNB reach $1,200 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $51.95 |
| 09-19 13:35 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 10:12 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 09-08 10:11 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.99 |
| 09-08 10:10 | Will Solana dip to $10 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $134.87 |
| 08-03 10:06 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $11.96 |
| 08-03 10:05 | Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $129.87 |
| 07-30 11:07 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 07-17 12:50 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $127.50 Week of July 13 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 07-17 12:48 | Will Solana reach $160 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $177.82 |
| 06-07 11:43 | Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.99 |
| 06-07 11:42 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $363.64 |
| 05-19 13:52 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.996 | $6.96 |
| 05-17 14:46 | Will Solana reach $170 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.98 |
| 05-06 13:22 | Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |