lizzyb
0xd3e3f209d9701a981e196bc297d2b5a5211467dc
- Realised P&L
- $5.2k
- Volume
- $109.4k
- Markets traded
- 196
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded196
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$494.87at 0.290Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?
- +$299.43at 0.260Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
- +$292.60at 0.082Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$285.88at 0.072Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$274.65at 0.210Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 06:34 | Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.61 |
| 07-19 03:07 | SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3006571166 | $45.75 |
| 07-18 07:23 | Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.1492084433 | $56.55 |
| 07-09 00:17 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.30 |
| 07-06 17:49 | Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.98 |
| 07-01 01:08 | Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.02 | $4.00 |
| 06-28 17:58 | Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.03 |
| 06-25 06:21 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.99 | $990.40 |
| 06-24 01:07 | Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12? | BUY | 0.93 | $260.41 |
| 06-19 05:53 | Will Matthew Dunlap be the Democratic nominee for ME-02? | BUY | 0.9964149326 | $160.41 |
| 06-06 05:16 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.0422194242 | $16.03 |
| 05-20 01:43 | Will Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03? | SELL | 0.03 | $23.72 |
| 05-20 00:32 | Will Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03? | BUY | 0.33 | $18.15 |
| 05-20 00:32 | Will Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03? | BUY | 0.354 | $29.79 |
| 05-20 00:31 | Will Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03? | BUY | 0.3079377125 | $17.20 |