PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tramtram47

0xd3e299052fa6323c29f811cfd659658f24bebb87

Realised P&L
$942.07
Volume
$18.5k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$35.50

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.3100.155$31.00$30.93
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.1400.045$4.50$9.50
Will "Left-Handed Girl" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$10.40
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m? · Yes0.2530.000$0.00$151.59
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$4.21
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 6th Weekend Box Office be greater than 9.5m? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$3.83
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 53m? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$2.40
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$57.37
Will "Project Hail Mary" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 35m? · No0.3100.000$0.00$0.45
Will "Nouvelle Vague" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$1.08
Will Margot Robbie say "Gothic" or "Romance" during Jimmy Kimmel Live!? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$40.00
Will "Zootopia 2" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$1.20
Will "Primate" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00$2.82
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m? · No0.0590.000$0.00$23.60
Will Jafar Panahi win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$3.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 14:29Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?BUY0.059$23.60
07-19 16:16Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.309643$61.93
07-19 16:11Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?BUY0.648$26.26
04-05 21:03Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?SELL0.001$0.80
04-03 12:06Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?BUY0.2232468401$66.76
04-03 12:04Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?BUY0.4123683329$118.14
04-03 12:04Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?BUY0.2071275$82.85
04-02 22:22Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?SELL0.1$40.00
03-31 21:51Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.14$14.00
03-30 13:35Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?BUY0.34$136.00
03-30 13:33Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?BUY0.19538$78.15
03-30 13:32Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?BUY0.1664302667$49.93
03-30 13:29Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?BUY0.1463824$14.64
03-27 13:46Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?BUY0.265002$26.50
03-27 13:45Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?BUY0.5978$119.56