temczad
0xd3df029411a3e29c5d98bae4fef549a3ca5bb9ac
- Realised P&L
- $-465.75
- Volume
- $53.9k
- Markets traded
- 3,397
- Open portfolio
- $55.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,397
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.67at 0.053Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
- +$93.75at 0.106Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
- +$79.98at 0.074Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
- +$78.00at 0.064Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
- +$58.89at 0.083Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:54 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 16? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.67 |
| 09-16 18:54 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 16? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.44 |
| 09-16 18:53 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.9099999913 | $5.22 |
| 09-16 18:53 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.9699999982 | $5.33 |
| 09-16 18:21 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 16? | SELL | 0.98 | $5.39 |
| 09-16 18:04 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.94 | $5.17 |
| 09-16 16:01 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.98 | $6.13 |
| 09-16 15:54 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 16? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.44 |
| 09-16 15:54 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.9699999982 | $5.33 |
| 09-16 15:54 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 16? | SELL | 0.94 | $5.16 |
| 09-16 15:53 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.9699999982 | $5.33 |
| 09-16 15:53 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 16? | SELL | 0.92 | $5.05 |
| 09-16 15:53 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.9699999982 | $5.33 |
| 09-16 15:53 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 16? | SELL | 0.88 | $4.88 |
| 09-16 15:53 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.9399999964 | $5.22 |