PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

ORBAN26

0xd3de37de2e48331149dec49b374ed7ac15ffbc00

Realised P&L
$21.34
Volume
$13.7k
Markets traded
497
Open portfolio
$12.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded497
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on September 28? · Yes0.5120.510$7.97−$0.03
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1570.061$3.88−$6.12
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on September 28? · Yes0.6900.490$0.71−$0.29
Solana Up or Down - September 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET · Up0.6590.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET · Down0.8910.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET · Up0.6800.000$0.00−$5.00
Solana Up or Down - September 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET · Up0.6100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on September 25? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$1.00
Solana Up or Down - September 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET · Down0.6000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET · Down0.5010.000$0.00−$4.00
Solana Up or Down - September 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET · Up0.5400.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET · Down0.2400.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Down0.6500.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET · Up0.6600.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 00:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETBUY0.3299999489$2.00
09-28 00:38Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETBUY0.9299999814$2.00
09-28 00:37Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETBUY0.85$2.00
09-28 00:32Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETBUY0.9799999647$5.00
09-28 00:32Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETBUY0.9699999951$2.00
09-28 00:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETBUY0.94$2.00
09-28 00:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETBUY0.9399999624$1.00
09-28 00:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETBUY0.3699999593$1.00
09-27 16:28Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.1799999856$1.00
09-27 16:28Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.469999906$1.00
09-27 16:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETBUY0.9$2.00
09-27 16:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETBUY0.9599996928$1.00
09-27 16:06Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETBUY0.8699999913$1.00
09-27 16:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETBUY0.859999914$1.00
09-27 16:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETBUY0.74$1.00