psionicist
0xd3d9846f4e377591a48b2c3a95c0cf9b0c94a1e9
- Realised P&L
- $-89.85
- Volume
- $895.26
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $77.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USA TODAY (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.444 | 0.375 | $77.25 | −$14.25 |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| Will George Simion win by 6–12%? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.59at 0.560Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?
- +$3.05at 0.820Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
- +$2.27at 0.939Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?
- +$-24.00at 0.154Another Israel military action on Yemen in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 14:11 | Will USA TODAY (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.36 | $3.24 |
| 05-18 22:50 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June? | SELL | 0.71336 | $44.59 |
| 05-18 22:50 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | SELL | 0.92 | $28.04 |
| 05-13 19:25 | Another Israel military action on Yemen in May? | BUY | 0.1542181661 | $24.00 |
| 05-13 19:21 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by Friday? | BUY | 0.9389999821 | $35.00 |
| 05-13 19:21 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June? | BUY | 0.56 | $35.00 |
| 05-13 19:20 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BUY | 0.82 | $25.00 |
| 05-13 19:19 | Will George Simion win by 6–12%? | BUY | 0.1899999968 | $45.00 |
| 05-13 19:19 | Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6299999996 | $35.00 |