0xd3ced370d94998104aa6f220110f008e942c8d06
0xd3ced370d94998104aa6f220110f008e942c8d06
- Realised P&L
- $0.85
- Volume
- $448.27
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $7.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.325 | $1.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.335 | $1.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.415 | $1.27 | −$0.02 |
| Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.455 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.075 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.06at 0.271Valencia vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv
- +$3.37at 0.363Panathinaikos vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv
- +$1.55at 0.535Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?
- +$1.23at 0.455Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-15?
- +$1.00at 0.505Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 11:29 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.4199999414 | $1.29 |
| 10-17 11:29 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.38 |
| 10-17 09:08 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.72 |
| 10-17 09:07 | Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 09:05 | Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 09:03 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.3299999489 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 09:02 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 21:04 | Trail Blazers vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 21:03 | Timberwolves vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 20:52 | Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 20:47 | Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.1169999938 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 20:26 | Panathinaikos vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv | SELL | 0.999 | $5.33 |
| 10-16 20:20 | Barcelona vs. Olympiacos B.C. | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 19:39 | Panathinaikos vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv | BUY | 0.3499999439 | $1.87 |
| 10-15 20:55 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-15? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.27 |