collldwater
0xd3cde3afa47be74bd3a8f12a94fcbda28f9a9f3e
- Realised P&L
- $8.7k
- Volume
- $267.9k
- Markets traded
- 244
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded244
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.749LoL: G2 Esports vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner
- +$2.0kat 0.433LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner
- +$1.7kat 0.694LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner
- +$1.4kat 0.482LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winner
- +$1.3kat 0.395LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 17:54 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.1802857143 | $12.62 |
| 09-14 23:53 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.1943522781 | $16.55 |
| 09-14 23:52 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.184 | $28.56 |
| 09-14 23:41 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.519 | $202.41 |
| 09-14 20:47 | Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2 | BUY | 0.23 | $51.04 |
| 09-13 21:25 | LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.3991971667 | $239.52 |
| 09-13 21:24 | LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.51 | $306.00 |
| 09-13 17:18 | LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.27 | $83.70 |
| 09-13 17:11 | LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.65417 | $183.17 |
| 09-13 16:44 | Will paiN Gaming Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2 | BUY | 0.062 | $1.55 |
| 09-12 16:51 | LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.56 | $10.66 |
| 09-12 10:38 | LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.9617973333 | $461.66 |
| 09-12 10:20 | LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.833408125 | $400.04 |
| 09-12 06:59 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.3 | $183.00 |
| 09-12 06:46 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.65 | $317.59 |