PolyBot

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Traders

collldwater

0xd3cde3afa47be74bd3a8f12a94fcbda28f9a9f3e

Realised P&L
$8.7k
Volume
$267.9k
Markets traded
244
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded244
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3320.545$1.3k+$494.54
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · Yes0.1380.174$254.02+$53.33
Will Marcelo Crivella win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election? · No0.6830.659$108.82$3.96
Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2 · Yes0.2300.250$55.48+$4.44
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0020.002$7.53$2.51
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0040.004$4.38$0.62
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0030.002$2.50$2.50
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 4 Winner · Fluxo W7M0.2500.000$0.00$65.04
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner · Cloud90.2300.000$0.00$101.20
LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner · Sentinels0.6630.000$0.00$198.89
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner · Anyone's Legend0.2110.000$0.00$69.68
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner · Sentinels0.7100.000$0.00$205.90
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Team Solid (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season · paiN Gaming Academy0.5180.000$0.00$147.64
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner · Dplus KIA0.5900.000$0.00$407.10
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner · Anyone's Legend0.4600.000$0.00$101.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 17:54Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?BUY0.1802857143$12.62
09-14 23:53Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?BUY0.1943522781$16.55
09-14 23:52Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?BUY0.184$28.56
09-14 23:41Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.519$202.41
09-14 20:47Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2BUY0.23$51.04
09-13 21:25LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.3991971667$239.52
09-13 21:24LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.51$306.00
09-13 17:18LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.27$83.70
09-13 17:11LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.65417$183.17
09-13 16:44Will paiN Gaming Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2BUY0.062$1.55
09-12 16:51LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.56$10.66
09-12 10:38LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.9617973333$461.66
09-12 10:20LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.833408125$400.04
09-12 06:59LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.3$183.00
09-12 06:46LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.65$317.59