PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd3cba476f6816B88E2F20cD6c0B7E780EfE6885d-1773867939643

0xd3cba476f6816b88e2f20cd6c0b7e780efe6885d

Realised P&L
$-7.73
Volume
$58.58
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$118.72

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-13.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:25Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?BUY0.0697280604$10.00
11-01 21:152026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.24$12.00
11-01 20:53Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2999999985$20.00
11-01 20:52Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2699999966$20.00
11-01 20:49Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2999999985$20.00
11-01 20:48Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan?BUY0.011$5.00
11-01 20:48Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?BUY0.0400782012$5.00
11-01 20:462026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.2399999981$20.00
11-01 19:32Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio?BUY0.008$13.40
03-21 01:51Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETBUY0.4699999887$4.84
03-21 01:48Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?BUY0.149999976$5.00
03-21 01:41Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETSELL0.99$7.19
03-21 01:38Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETBUY0.6799999728$4.88