0xd3cba476f6816B88E2F20cD6c0B7E780EfE6885d-1773867939643
0xd3cba476f6816b88e2f20cd6c0b7e780efe6885d
- Realised P&L
- $-7.73
- Volume
- $58.58
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $118.72
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.300 | 0.295 | $39.33 | −$0.67 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes | 0.240 | 0.235 | $31.33 | −$0.67 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.265 | $19.63 | −$0.37 |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.006 | $10.89 | −$2.51 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.051 | $7.39 | −$2.61 |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.011 | $5.23 | +$0.23 |
| Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.040 | $4.93 | −$0.07 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET · Up | 0.477 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.27at 0.688Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:25 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? | BUY | 0.0697280604 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 21:15 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.24 | $12.00 |
| 11-01 20:53 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999985 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 20:52 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999966 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 20:49 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999985 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 20:48 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan? | BUY | 0.011 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 20:48 | Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.0400782012 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 20:46 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 19:32 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? | BUY | 0.008 | $13.40 |
| 03-21 01:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $4.84 |
| 03-21 01:48 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 03-21 01:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $7.19 |
| 03-21 01:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $4.88 |