0xd3c80f051875132181e5a688c78f52ff67185c12
0xd3c80f051875132181e5a688c78f52ff67185c12
- Realised P&L
- $-68.05
- Volume
- $15.4k
- Markets traded
- 289
- Open portfolio
- $21.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded289
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.49at 0.192Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 3AM ET
- +$4.28at 0.200XRP Up or Down - October 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
- +$4.20at 0.203Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
- +$3.28at 0.245Dogecoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
- +$3.10at 0.255XRP Up or Down - September 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 04:57 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.75 | $6.00 |
| 10-09 04:49 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 04:49 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 04:48 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.7458176836 | $13.00 |
| 10-09 04:47 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 04:44 | ZCash Up or Down - October 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 04:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 04:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 04:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | SELL | 0.7 | $1.43 |
| 10-09 04:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 04:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 04:26 | ZCash Up or Down - October 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | SELL | 0.25 | $0.57 |
| 10-09 04:26 | ZCash Up or Down - October 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 04:26 | ZCash Up or Down - October 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 04:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET | SELL | 0.27 | $1.36 |