PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xd3c80f051875132181e5a688c78f52ff67185c12

Realised P&L
$-6.14
Volume
$5.2k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$1.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.1500.040$0.26$0.74
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.0020.001$0.25$0.75
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.0060.001$0.17$1.83
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET · Down0.4100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5AM ET · Down0.4600.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on July 28? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7PM ET · Down0.4500.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6AM ET · Down0.4080.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET · Up0.0400.000$0.00$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3AM ET · Down0.4400.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 10:19Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.0070000001$1.00
08-02 10:17Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.005$1.00
08-02 10:17Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
08-02 10:16Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.002$1.00
08-02 09:29Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5AM ETSELL0.67$1.63
08-02 09:02Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5AM ETBUY0.4099998237$1.00
08-02 09:00Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5AM ETBUY0.4599997608$1.00
08-02 08:00Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.001$1.00
08-02 07:53Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.001$1.00
07-29 22:26Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.5$1.00
07-29 22:17Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETBUY0.4099998237$1.00
07-29 07:58Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3AM ETSELL0.98$2.33
07-29 07:56Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.33999983$1.00
07-29 07:30Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETBUY0.4499997975$1.00
07-29 07:12Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3AM ETBUY0.4399998064$1.00