PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

StonesThrowAway

0xd3c6ab36053d8d529176b62668aa345793924e12

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$54.4k
Markets traded
2,960
Open portfolio
$618.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,960
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5 · Under0.5300.640$120.75+$20.75
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 244.5 · Under0.5880.685$116.48+$16.48
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5 · Under0.3900.415$106.41+$6.41
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 216.5 · Over0.6000.595$99.17−$0.83
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 224.5 · Over0.4300.325$75.58−$24.42
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 235.5 · Over0.2470.100$40.45−$59.55
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · Yes0.1400.150$20.72+$1.38
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Delcy Rodriguez by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.6000.715$14.37+$2.31
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7700.535$13.78−$6.05
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Mark Rutte by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3300.190$10.83−$7.98
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-21? · Yes0.4200.001$0.12−$97.10
Solana Up or Down - August 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Up0.3220.000$0.00−$3.79
Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET · Down0.3100.000$0.00−$4.77
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET · Up0.1600.000$0.00−$4.72
Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET · Down0.0430.000$0.00−$3.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 21:56Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-21?BUY0.419999999$97.22
10-21 18:37Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-21?BUY0.5599999979$97.94
10-21 18:19Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto CaniatoBUY0.8$99.10
10-21 18:10Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 244.5BUY0.5880594021$100.00
10-21 18:00Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5BUY0.3899999991$100.00
10-21 17:59Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5BUY0.529999998$100.00
10-21 17:56Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 235.5BUY0.2472093861$100.00
10-21 17:55Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 224.5BUY0.4299999991$100.00
10-21 17:54Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 216.5BUY0.5999999988$100.00
10-21 08:57Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Kasidit SamrejBUY0.2999999997$96.71
10-21 08:51Almaty Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Tomas EtcheverryBUY0.2$96.24
10-21 08:41Almaty Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Tomas EtcheverryBUY0.5099999953$19.53
10-20 16:20Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?BUY0.6499999967$19.66
10-20 12:52Will Trump say "Veteran" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?BUY0.64$19.73
10-20 08:35Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?BUY0.4799999922$19.60