aiden.pierce
0xd3c3bd2566855c1ae351983deda43ad4bb805c58
- Realised P&L
- $-9.30
- Volume
- $483.81
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $38.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.935 | $18.70 | +$2.70 |
| Jonathan Majors as Kang? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.072 | $13.59 | −$1.41 |
| Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.190 | $3.39 | −$1.61 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.028 | $2.44 | −$5.30 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.041 | $0.72 | −$2.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-3.46at 0.532Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 10:59 | Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? | BUY | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 06-14 10:58 | Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 10:57 | Jonathan Majors as Kang? | BUY | 0.08 | $15.00 |
| 06-14 10:52 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.5 | $38.46 |
| 05-09 08:32 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0889999897 | $7.74 |
| 05-09 08:15 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999609 | $3.00 |
| 05-05 13:31 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.52 | $40.00 |