PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd3C279EECC2daE61eEd88BFa64957403faa01395-1759206290365

0xd3c279eecc2dae61eed88bfa64957403faa01395

Realised P&L
$761.88
Volume
$9.3k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$32.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0320.026$32.50$7.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Up0.4790.000$0.00$5.75
Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuela · Italy0.4100.000$0.00$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET · Up0.3570.000$0.00$19.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET · Up0.5850.000$0.00$4.54
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET · Up0.4220.000$0.00$137.67
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET · Up0.5650.000$0.00$4.72
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET · Up0.5390.000$0.00$53.08
Final Stage: Canada vs. USA · Canada0.2780.000$0.00$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET · Up0.5720.000$0.00$46.53
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$100.00
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-27 00:49Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.032$40.00
03-17 03:30Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETSELL0.999$205.28
03-17 03:24Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETBUY0.7542240322$153.64
03-17 00:31Final Stage: Italy vs. VenezuelaBUY0.4099999976$100.00
03-16 04:25Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETSELL0.99$181.61
03-16 04:20Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETBUY0.5366880955$96.91
03-16 04:13Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETSELL0.35880044$71.76
03-16 04:05Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETBUY0.6060726445$48.57
03-16 03:55Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETSELL0.99$197.99
03-16 03:45Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETBUY0.53$51.36
03-16 03:26Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETBUY0.288664$28.26
03-16 03:11Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETBUY0.3033870703$97.77
03-14 03:14Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?BUY0.3803601513$100.00
03-14 02:25Final Stage: Canada vs. USABUY0.2783606878$15.00
03-12 01:25First Round Pool B: Mexico vs. ItalySELL0.981$6.87