0xd3C279EECC2daE61eEd88BFa64957403faa01395-1759206290365
0xd3c279eecc2dae61eed88bfa64957403faa01395
- Realised P&L
- $761.88
- Volume
- $9.3k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $32.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$698.03at 0.108Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
- +$187.69at 0.521First Round Pool B: Mexico vs. Italy
- +$159.95at 0.542Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
- +$146.93at 0.638Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
- +$142.02at 0.778Chiefs vs. Bills
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 00:49 | Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.032 | $40.00 |
| 03-17 03:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $205.28 |
| 03-17 03:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7542240322 | $153.64 |
| 03-17 00:31 | Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuela | BUY | 0.4099999976 | $100.00 |
| 03-16 04:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $181.61 |
| 03-16 04:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5366880955 | $96.91 |
| 03-16 04:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | SELL | 0.35880044 | $71.76 |
| 03-16 04:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | BUY | 0.6060726445 | $48.57 |
| 03-16 03:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $197.99 |
| 03-16 03:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | BUY | 0.53 | $51.36 |
| 03-16 03:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.288664 | $28.26 |
| 03-16 03:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3033870703 | $97.77 |
| 03-14 03:14 | Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | BUY | 0.3803601513 | $100.00 |
| 03-14 02:25 | Final Stage: Canada vs. USA | BUY | 0.2783606878 | $15.00 |
| 03-12 01:25 | First Round Pool B: Mexico vs. Italy | SELL | 0.981 | $6.87 |