PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Topgainer

0xd3bfdff0be857d9aeb6fa3bd01dc1bd694c7cc4c

Realised P&L
$-258.53
Volume
$65.0k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$28.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.7900.835$10.85+$0.58
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? · No0.9200.801$8.02$1.19
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? · Yes0.2200.215$5.16$0.12
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? · No0.2300.177$4.44$1.31
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$1.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$1.00
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 07:08Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?BUY0.22$4.18
09-24 07:08Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?BUY0.22$1.10
09-22 08:55Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?BUY0.92$9.20
09-22 05:02NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.79$10.26
09-21 08:39Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.005666889$0.17
09-20 23:50Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.06$4.92
09-20 23:21Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.0749107468$9.87
09-20 23:18Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?SELL0.0620386004$30.59
09-20 23:12Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.04$3.72
09-20 22:15Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.33$9.90
09-20 21:58Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.049$2.87
09-20 21:35Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?SELL0.01234$0.74
09-20 20:05Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?SELL0.3060932984$90.03
09-19 09:29Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.125$7.50
09-19 09:10Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?BUY0.3399999989$100.00