topogrupo1
0xd3bae4c0e18556f88d1f683275d59821b097e793
- Realised P&L
- $108.7k
- Volume
- $5.80M
- Markets traded
- 2,155
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,155
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20? · No | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-09-20? · No | 0.068 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.85 |
| Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-09-18? · No | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$93.48 |
| Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-23? · Yes | 0.795 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$364.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.3kat 0.330Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?
- +$5.1kat 0.271Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?
- +$3.3kat 0.510Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-04-05?
- +$3.0kat 0.557Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?
- +$2.4kat 0.348Will El Mokawloon El Arab SC win on 2026-05-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 18:37 | Will Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women vs. AS Roma end in a draw? | SELL | 0.96 | $164.46 |
| 09-23 18:35 | Will Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women vs. AS Roma end in a draw? | SELL | 0.262 | $6.55 |
| 09-23 18:34 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.7894074893 | $199.85 |
| 09-23 18:34 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.8 | $200.00 |
| 09-23 18:34 | Will Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women vs. AS Roma end in a draw? | SELL | 0.2037570916 | $17.60 |
| 09-23 18:34 | Will Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women vs. AS Roma end in a draw? | SELL | 0.17 | $40.96 |
| 09-23 18:34 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-23? | SELL | 0.3098572175 | $71.18 |
| 09-23 18:33 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.82 | $188.50 |
| 09-23 18:32 | Will Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women vs. AS Roma end in a draw? | SELL | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 09-23 18:32 | Will Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women vs. AS Roma end in a draw? | SELL | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 09-23 17:13 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-23? | SELL | 0.33 | $20.20 |
| 09-23 17:10 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.32 | $18.74 |
| 09-20 21:18 | FC Porto vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $207.97 |
| 09-20 20:49 | FC Porto vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.97 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 20:49 | FC Porto vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.97 | $100.00 |