0xd3b9135f469cbcff77defa526e057ed6d424802e
0xd3b9135f469cbcff77defa526e057ed6d424802e
- Realised P&L
- $-3.15
- Volume
- $98.86
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $1.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.160 | $0.74 | −$0.09 |
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.032 | $0.69 | −$0.81 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET · Down | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET · Up | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.23at 0.236Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 03:07 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.22 | $2.24 |
| 10-09 13:03 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.2299999784 | $2.34 |
| 10-07 12:38 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.179 | $1.20 |
| 10-07 12:16 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1799999965 | $2.03 |
| 10-07 11:38 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.179 | $2.05 |
| 10-07 11:34 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1799999913 | $2.06 |
| 07-22 15:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.24 | $1.50 |
| 07-22 08:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 15:13 | NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.069999958 | $1.50 |