PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd3B697c398136430AA46b5C2C62ec4166319Fa47-1770489446062

0xd3b697c398136430aa46b5c2c62ec4166319fa47

Realised P&L
$-44.3k
Volume
$1.79M
Markets traded
420
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded420
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Magic (-5.5) · Magic0.4000.390$1.3k−$33.60
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21? · No0.2100.155$778.69−$276.30
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-15? · Yes0.4480.000$0.00−$1.9k
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? · No0.4100.000$0.00−$405.00
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-04? · No0.3100.000$0.00−$1.3k
Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-05-21? · No0.5200.000$0.00−$657.00
Spread: Rams (-2.5) · Rams0.4700.000$0.00−$1.7k
Will Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$891.00
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A · B80.1100.000$0.00−$25.00
LoL: Maryville University vs Contingent Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs · Contingent Esports0.1800.000$0.00−$176.00
Cardinals vs. 49ers · Cardinals0.2300.000$0.00−$284.00
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros · Houston Astros0.3600.000$0.00−$2.3k
Hurricanes vs. Flyers · Flyers0.3600.000$0.00−$2.2k
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$142.82
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$767.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 18:37Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?BUY0.21$530.00
10-21 18:14Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?BUY0.21$525.00
10-21 13:02Spread: Magic (-5.5)BUY0.4$1.3k
10-20 22:50Spread: Knicks (-2.5)BUY0.4299999999$1.5k
10-20 22:2776ers vs. KnicksBUY0.3899999999$1.2k
10-20 18:00Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.2$8.00
10-20 17:51Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)BUY0.4$1.2k
10-19 23:56Spread: 49ers (-10.5)BUY0.3899999993$190.00
10-19 20:19Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-10-19?BUY0.3699999999$964.00
10-18 18:10Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.2199999999$554.00
10-18 15:22Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-18 15:22Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)BUY0.24$633.00
10-18 06:22Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)BUY0.4499999999$1.7k
10-17 19:50LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-InBUY0.1399999999$40.00
10-17 19:32LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.16$20.00