Sunshine.Smile
0xd3b034d7bfb2473fb252d0414646d9786bac329e
- Realised P&L
- $206.8k
- Volume
- $20.65M
- Markets traded
- 3,024
- Open portfolio
- $18.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,024
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner · LYON | 0.758 | 1.000 | $8.7k | +$2.1k |
| LoL: LOS vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner · LOS | 0.710 | 1.000 | $5.6k | +$1.6k |
| LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner · LYON | 0.500 | 1.000 | $4.5k | +$2.2k |
| Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs OG - Game 2 Winner · OG | 0.557 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.3k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$169.3kat 0.574Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
- +$55.8kat 0.380LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner
- +$50.3kat 0.429Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
- +$33.6kat 0.510Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
- +$33.2kat 0.386Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:13 | LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.76 | $152.00 |
| 08-02 21:13 | LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.76 | $228.00 |
| 08-02 21:12 | LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.76 | $1.1k |
| 08-02 21:12 | LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.75 | $975.00 |
| 08-02 18:45 | LoL: LOS vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.71 | $2.7k |
| 08-02 18:44 | Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs | BUY | 0.7653441495 | $77.84 |
| 08-02 18:42 | Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs | BUY | 0.7353008433 | $120.32 |
| 08-02 18:42 | Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs | BUY | 0.7100227531 | $624.11 |
| 08-02 18:41 | Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs | BUY | 0.67 | $138.69 |
| 08-02 18:09 | Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs OG - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.55 | $274.99 |
| 08-02 18:08 | Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs OG - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.55 | $770.00 |
| 08-02 18:07 | Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs OG - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.56 | $224.00 |
| 08-02 16:50 | Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs OG - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.56975066 | $1.0k |
| 08-02 16:50 | Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs OG - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.5297709207 | $231.26 |
| 08-02 16:13 | LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.5596868214 | $3.1k |