PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

CayciEray

0xd3b0197f09814155cedc13500c6ffcf248dddcc1

Realised P&L
$20.34
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$56.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9300.925$37.00−$0.20
Türkiye vs. France: France O/U 0.5 · Over0.9401.000$19.99+$1.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 14:19Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.93$37.20
09-25 14:17Türkiye vs. France: France O/U 0.5BUY0.94$18.79
08-26 19:53Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?SELL0.86$34.40
07-15 14:07Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3574999895$10.00
04-07 14:32Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5BUY0.75$7.39
04-07 14:31Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?BUY0.67$3.35
04-07 14:30Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?BUY0.84$8.40
04-07 14:30Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5BUY0.9$8.95
04-07 14:29Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?SELL0.999$9.99
03-26 15:17Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.77$7.70
03-26 15:17Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.77$7.70
03-25 12:56Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?BUY0.89$8.90
03-24 18:16Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?BUY0.375$1.88
03-24 18:12Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?BUY0.599$5.99
03-24 18:12Will 10-14 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?BUY0.025$1.00