Felipe
0xd3ac39d0c9865c213853e6ab8f7cc25b649927a7
- Realised P&L
- $-129.51
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $6.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.555 | $6.84 | −$2.65 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET · Up | 0.309 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.21 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET · Down | 0.331 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.22 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET · Down | 0.315 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.68 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET · Up | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.66 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET · Down | 0.298 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.40 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET · Up | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.19 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET · Up | 0.579 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.54 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Up | 0.298 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.48 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET · Up | 0.259 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.09 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET · Down | 0.646 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.98at 0.412Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
- +$36.81at 0.612Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
- +$36.15at 0.474Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
- +$35.84at 0.524Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
- +$30.01at 0.593Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 16:37 | Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? | BUY | 0.769999983 | $9.49 |
| 04-06 01:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $0.89 |
| 04-06 01:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $4.58 |
| 04-06 01:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $4.74 |
| 04-06 01:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $0.97 |
| 04-06 01:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $0.88 |
| 04-06 01:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $4.67 |
| 04-06 01:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $4.73 |
| 04-05 16:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.7717118051 | $9.67 |
| 04-05 16:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.7349727788 | $9.62 |
| 04-05 16:15 | Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-05? | SELL | 0.33 | $9.51 |
| 04-05 16:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $0.87 |
| 04-05 16:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $0.87 |
| 04-05 15:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $0.86 |
| 04-05 15:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5899999866 | $14.11 |