0x76c23C60BDD05F5BB1f0C382eD16d2a47DcC9b4E-1776899971161
0xd3a531e949aa9e40730d85ffe9ea148ff394a5fc
- Realised P&L
- $341.60
- Volume
- $66.1k
- Markets traded
- 423
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded423
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$115.20at 0.466Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
- +$98.90at 0.559Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
- +$67.47at 0.596Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
- +$52.52at 0.655Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
- +$47.96at 0.729Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.205032 | $10.25 |
| 09-17 05:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.98 | $27.68 |
| 09-17 05:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.85 | $12.75 |
| 09-17 05:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 09-17 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.76 | $13.93 |
| 09-17 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.998 | $156.98 |
| 09-17 04:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.4 | $6.56 |
| 09-17 04:23 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.94 | $47.00 |
| 09-16 06:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 09-16 04:19 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.7892960721 | $56.06 |
| 09-16 04:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.79 | $10.82 |
| 07-31 15:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999992 | $25.00 |
| 07-31 15:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999992 | $25.00 |
| 07-31 15:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $19.99 |
| 07-31 15:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.9310083195 | $50.00 |