sigmon
0xd3a381c139e2906e1949b9d9a5dd8ff6492b3150
- Realised P&L
- $375.17
- Volume
- $299.6k
- Markets traded
- 802
- Open portfolio
- $17.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded802
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.52at 0.241Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 21?
- +$41.31at 0.003Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$30.32at 0.006Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$24.66at 0.088Honus Wagner card sale >$6 million?
- +$23.19at 0.706Will PH win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 21:18 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.3629999917 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 15:27 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 5? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 09-04 11:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 11:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 09:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 14:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 14:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 14:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 10:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 10:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 10:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 10:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 09:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 09:51 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $2.80 |
| 08-29 09:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | SELL | 0.54 | $1.93 |