PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd3a002df88d0ba9dc07a2caaa9d3fa13b0245ca1-1792762871306

0xd3a002df88d0ba9dc07a2caaa9d3fa13b0245ca1

Realised P&L
$-6.42
Volume
$366.74
Markets traded
116
Open portfolio
$24.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded116
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.7900.993$6.28+$1.28
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1100.135$6.14+$1.14
Rolex Paris Masters: Mattia Bellucci vs Lorenzo Sonego · Lorenzo Sonego0.4400.430$1.84−$0.04
Charlottesville: Aidan Mayo vs Duncan Chan · Duncan Chan0.2900.205$1.80−$0.75
Bratislava 2: Luka Pavlovic vs Alexander Shevchenko · Luka Pavlovic0.3700.365$1.76−$0.02
Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat · Jan Kumstat0.4900.485$1.35−$0.01
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone · Mariano Navone0.4000.395$1.34−$0.02
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz · Lorenzo Musetti0.5000.505$1.01+$0.01
Taipei: Daniel Michalski vs August Holmgren · Daniel Michalski0.4000.395$0.99−$0.01
Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi · Matteo Arnaldi0.3300.325$0.98−$0.02
Rolex Paris Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikata · Luciano Darderi0.4900.475$0.97−$0.03
Costa do Sauipe: Federico Zeballos vs Luis Felipe Miguel · Federico Zeballos0.3100.018$0.09−$1.48
Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl · Liam Draxl0.3100.000$0.00−$2.00
Flames vs. Avalanche · Flames0.2100.000$0.00−$1.15
Brest: Martin Damm vs Dino Prizmic · Dino Prizmic0.5400.000$0.00−$1.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:27Bratislava 2: Luka Pavlovic vs Alexander ShevchenkoBUY0.3699999854$1.78
11-01 21:26Rolex Paris Masters: Mattia Bellucci vs Lorenzo SonegoBUY0.4399999251$1.88
11-01 21:26Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo ArnaldiBUY0.3299998944$1.00
11-01 21:25Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano NavoneBUY0.4$1.36
11-01 21:25Rolex Paris Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky HijikataBUY0.4899998383$1.00
11-01 21:24Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert HurkaczBUY0.5$1.00
11-01 21:21Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan KumstatBUY0.4899998595$1.36
11-01 21:20Taipei: Daniel Michalski vs August HolmgrenBUY0.4$1.00
11-01 19:24Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
11-01 19:23Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.4899998383$1.00
11-01 16:18Costa do Sauipe: Federico Zeballos vs Luis Felipe MiguelBUY0.3099999467$1.57
11-01 16:17Charlottesville: Aidan Mayo vs Duncan ChanBUY0.2899999818$2.55
11-01 16:16Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam DraxlBUY0.3099999954$2.00
11-01 16:15Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.3499999877$1.42
11-01 06:20Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.6999999606$3.55