wiskundeman17
0xd399b113d675849c842890cdcf786e707e9b2d2c
- Realised P&L
- $-488.06
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $234.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.735 | $73.50 | +$3.50 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.695 | $34.75 | −$0.75 |
| Will Italy win on 2026-09-25? · No | 0.580 | 0.575 | $34.50 | −$0.30 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.685 | $34.25 | +$0.75 |
| Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.510 | $25.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.455 | $22.75 | +$0.25 |
| Will Germany win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · Yes | 0.188 | 0.177 | $8.77 | −$0.55 |
| Shanghai: Hayato Matsuoka vs Jake Delaney · Hayato Matsuoka | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-09-13? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.77 |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz · Carlos Alcaraz | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$126.40 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-09-24? · No | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe · Daniil Medvedev | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.15at 0.818US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
- +$63.79at 0.681Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?
- +$55.69at 0.900US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
- +$33.18at 0.924US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Tomas Etcheverry
- +$20.05at 0.818US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 21:53 | Will Germany win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.188 | $9.32 |
| 09-24 21:52 | Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.54 | $27.00 |
| 09-24 21:19 | Will Italy win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.58 | $34.80 |
| 09-24 21:14 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.71 | $35.50 |
| 09-24 21:13 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.67 | $33.50 |
| 09-24 21:13 | Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.45 | $22.50 |
| 09-24 18:20 | Will France win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.7 | $70.00 |
| 09-24 16:51 | Will Portugal win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 09-24 16:32 | Will Austria win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.67 | $134.00 |
| 09-13 23:08 | Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.81 | $13.77 |
| 09-13 23:06 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-13? | SELL | 0.999 | $13.87 |
| 09-13 22:45 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 22:38 | Sao Paulo Open, Qualification: Hayu Kinoshita vs Cadence Brace | BUY | 0.75 | $7.50 |
| 09-13 19:54 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.78 | $7.02 |
| 09-08 12:47 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | BUY | 0.79 | $94.80 |