slow-2pct
0xd391d4c98709f61f72472cbd8e8126fc1e3c093f
- Realised P&L
- $7.7k
- Volume
- $1.06M
- Markets traded
- 1,326
- Open portfolio
- $543.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,326
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 26? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.996 | $386.19 | +$2.33 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 26? · No | 0.990 | 0.999 | $157.12 | +$1.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$206.67at 0.472Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or higher on January 27?
- +$202.40at 0.851Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on March 19?
- +$188.78at 0.165Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C or higher on April 9?
- +$165.12at 0.769Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 2?
- +$143.89at 0.900Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 20:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.99 | $155.71 |
| 09-26 20:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.99 | $383.86 |
| 09-25 21:02 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.9875604396 | $40.44 |
| 09-25 21:02 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $553.37 |
| 09-25 16:22 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.93 | $311.37 |
| 09-25 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.9407509091 | $103.48 |
| 09-25 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.9097938144 | $441.25 |
| 09-25 09:35 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 25? | BUY | 0.9841268135 | $73.26 |
| 09-25 09:35 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 25? | BUY | 0.988805073 | $336.42 |
| 09-24 16:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.9786951558 | $60.00 |
| 09-24 16:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.9712072808 | $104.58 |
| 09-24 15:47 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.98 | $177.71 |
| 09-24 15:46 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.99 | $57.09 |
| 09-23 21:29 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 23? | BUY | 0.9584772567 | $176.37 |
| 09-23 21:11 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.99 | $22.90 |