li9999
0xd38c12df1faf44ee18c7a4c1f7210e4216697aa6
- Realised P&L
- $67.28
- Volume
- $48.7k
- Markets traded
- 197
- Open portfolio
- $8.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded197
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$126.24at 0.033Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 19?
- +$91.37at 0.024Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 21?
- +$90.60at 0.054Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 20?
- +$56.26at 0.447Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 20?
- +$41.72at 0.348Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 07:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 15:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 14:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.0218905469 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 14:09 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 4? | BUY | 0.0209999998 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 12:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 12:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 12:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.0289999997 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 12:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.0213592232 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 12:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 12:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.0089999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 3? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.17 |
| 10-02 14:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 3? | SELL | 0.0021750088 | $0.06 |
| 10-02 14:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 3? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.69 |
| 10-02 14:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 2? | SELL | 0.038 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.06 |