nirza
0xd388c353271b2cf6925e5b97f9caa233cd322490
- Realised P&L
- $-22.37
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 509
- Open portfolio
- $3.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded509
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.73at 0.140Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
- +$26.72at 0.190Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
- +$24.95at 0.424Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
- +$23.23at 0.451Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
- +$19.43at 0.262Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 12:20 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 12:18 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 12:18 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 12:05 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 12:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.0209999998 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 12:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.0979999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 13:22 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $20.00 |
| 09-11 13:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 20:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.89999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 20:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 20:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 19:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 19:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 19:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 18:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |