PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nirza

0xd388c353271b2cf6925e5b97f9caa233cd322490

Realised P&L
$-22.37
Volume
$10.5k
Markets traded
509
Open portfolio
$3.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded509
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1000.095$0.95$0.05
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.1100.095$0.86$0.14
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · Yes0.0080.006$0.75$0.25
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.1300.085$0.65$0.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET · Up0.9600.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET · Up0.6100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET · Up0.8800.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET · Up0.8300.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET · Down0.8000.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET · Down0.4400.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET · Down0.7900.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET · Down0.7700.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET · Down0.8400.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET · Up0.8100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET · Up0.7900.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 12:20Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.1299999948$1.00
09-18 12:18US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
09-18 12:18Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?BUY0.008$1.00
09-18 12:052026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.109999989$1.00
09-18 12:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 20?BUY0.0209999998$1.00
09-18 12:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 20?BUY0.0979999965$1.00
09-15 13:22Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1299999999$20.00
09-11 13:27Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETBUY0.8799999859$5.00
09-09 20:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.89999928$1.00
09-09 20:14Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETBUY0.6699999196$1.00
09-09 20:04Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETBUY0.8199999836$1.00
09-09 19:49Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETBUY0.7$1.00
09-09 19:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETBUY0.8699999913$1.00
09-09 19:09Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETBUY0.74$1.00
09-09 18:59Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.9$1.00