PolyBot

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Traders

0xd3793bb04aef48dbf4f7ead05e1bb5bc8fef2a02

0xd3793bb04aef48dbf4f7ead05e1bb5bc8fef2a02

Realised P&L
$-16.10
Volume
$318.50
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$16.62

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration90.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) · Aston Villa FC0.6910.670$6.31−$0.19
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5800.645$3.34+$0.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6AM ET · Up0.9001.000$2.22+$0.22
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0100.009$1.74−$0.09
Will T1 Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final? · Yes0.3900.370$1.74−$0.09
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.0250.024$1.28−$0.08
Will Arsenal WFC win on 2026-10-17? · Yes0.9030.000$0.00−$4.59
Solana Up or Down - October 16, 10AM ET · Up0.8600.000$0.00−$2.00
NL: Lugano vs. Davos · Lugano0.5700.000$0.00−$3.63
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10AM ET · Up0.6900.000$0.00−$5.00
Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 10AM ET · Down0.2200.000$0.00−$1.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 10:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6AM ETBUY0.9$2.00
10-20 08:09Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.9809999929$1.53
10-20 08:07Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.9809999929$1.53
10-20 07:57Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.025$1.53
10-18 06:32Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-17 09:32Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)BUY0.7$3.50
10-17 09:17Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.969$3.18
10-17 09:15Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.9699999858$1.37
10-16 14:17Solana Up or Down - October 16, 10AM ETBUY0.8599999656$2.00
10-16 14:16Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 10AM ETBUY0.2199999952$1.83
10-16 14:16Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 10AM ETBUY0.769999798$1.83
10-16 14:14Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10AM ETBUY0.6899999821$5.00
10-16 07:20Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-16 07:04Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-16 06:52Will Olimpija Ljubljana win on 2026-10-16?BUY0.5$1.00