0xd3793bb04aef48dbf4f7ead05e1bb5bc8fef2a02
0xd3793bb04aef48dbf4f7ead05e1bb5bc8fef2a02
- Realised P&L
- $-16.10
- Volume
- $318.50
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $16.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) · Aston Villa FC | 0.691 | 0.670 | $6.31 | −$0.19 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.580 | 0.645 | $3.34 | +$0.34 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6AM ET · Up | 0.900 | 1.000 | $2.22 | +$0.22 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.009 | $1.74 | −$0.09 |
| Will T1 Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.370 | $1.74 | −$0.09 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No | 0.025 | 0.024 | $1.28 | −$0.08 |
| Will Arsenal WFC win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.903 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.59 |
| Solana Up or Down - October 16, 10AM ET · Up | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| NL: Lugano vs. Davos · Lugano | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.63 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10AM ET · Up | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 10AM ET · Down | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.96at 0.517Will Olimpija Ljubljana win on 2026-10-16?
- +$0.10at 0.950Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 15?
- +$-0.08at 0.983Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$-0.69at 0.790Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 10AM ET
- +$-3.20at 0.991Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 10:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 08:09 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.9809999929 | $1.53 |
| 10-20 08:07 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.9809999929 | $1.53 |
| 10-20 07:57 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.53 |
| 10-18 06:32 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 09:32 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 10-17 09:17 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.969 | $3.18 |
| 10-17 09:15 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9699999858 | $1.37 |
| 10-16 14:17 | Solana Up or Down - October 16, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.8599999656 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 14:16 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.2199999952 | $1.83 |
| 10-16 14:16 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.769999798 | $1.83 |
| 10-16 14:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 07:20 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 07:04 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 06:52 | Will Olimpija Ljubljana win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |