Tom365
0xd378745e2b8140436a6e9a5229088451ab2d8141
- Realised P&L
- $486.36
- Volume
- $11.0k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $280.90
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.583 | 1.000 | $135.80 | +$56.60 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 22? · No | 0.737 | 1.000 | $97.12 | +$25.56 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 22? · No | 0.457 | 1.000 | $47.98 | +$26.03 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 4°C on August 29? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.55 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on August 28? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.42 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.183 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 26? · Yes | 0.918 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.85 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 19? · Yes | 0.184 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$176.41at 0.344Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21?
- +$75.63at 0.649Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21?
- +$73.02at 0.715Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22?
- +$71.90at 0.481Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 21?
- +$58.31at 0.746Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 13:45 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.7265464843 | $52.59 |
| 09-22 13:07 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.4191855703 | $26.61 |
| 09-22 12:25 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.4572916667 | $21.95 |
| 09-22 12:15 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.3965968471 | $35.98 |
| 09-22 11:27 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.4994487929 | $45.31 |
| 09-22 10:29 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.7365009777 | $71.57 |
| 09-22 05:51 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.81 | $13.37 |
| 09-22 04:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.847391758 | $16.24 |
| 09-22 04:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.8220746634 | $26.87 |
| 09-22 04:06 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.0790306122 | $7.74 |
| 09-22 03:44 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.6640173053 | $21.49 |
| 09-22 03:12 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.0099777741 | $1.20 |
| 09-22 03:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.7495 | $58.46 |
| 09-22 02:55 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.7726192541 | $17.82 |
| 09-22 02:55 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.6834815917 | $91.89 |