beb2d2
0xd376da8aadb6955cb5aaf009a89b634e1c58676f
- Realised P&L
- $540.57
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $46.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar40.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.145 | $46.69 | −$17.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$511.35at 0.309Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.4M in Q1?
- +$34.93at 0.680Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$23.75at 0.680Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?
- +$19.98at 0.500Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.4M in Q1?
- +$-49.40at 0.760Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 18:39 | Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $66.00 |
| 04-24 19:46 | Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.4M in Q1? | BUY | 0.248 | $11.47 |
| 04-24 19:40 | Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.4M in Q1? | BUY | 0.2278521019 | $6.85 |
| 03-26 15:44 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26? | BUY | 0.6799999978 | $50.47 |