0xd3757bc3f2d7618aaf3745ed56a188e5692bede5
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 418
- Open portfolio
- $35.97
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded418
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$179.18at 0.305Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?
- +$91.63at 0.145Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$85.37at 0.098Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$45.00at 0.700Ethereum above $2,700 on February 21?
- +$22.98at 0.310Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 00:57 | Will Vox win the third-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.0852571445 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 17:11 | Will Vox win the third-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.1832797411 | $15.00 |
| 10-26 17:10 | Will PP win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $15.00 |
| 10-26 17:10 | Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $20.00 |
| 10-13 22:47 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $15.00 |
| 07-19 16:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 16:38 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.591 | $31.60 |
| 07-15 19:20 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 17:11 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 23:03 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 20:39 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.1624999768 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 20:38 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2349999183 | $2.00 |
| 07-10 20:36 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.4499999212 | $2.00 |
| 07-10 20:36 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.454999917 | $2.00 |
| 07-08 22:46 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |