PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd3757bc3f2d7618aaf3745ed56a188e5692bede5

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
418
Open portfolio
$35.97

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded418
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.1900.145$15.26−$4.74
Will Vox win the third-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? · No0.1260.065$12.94−$12.06
Will PP win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.2800.145$7.77−$7.23
LoL: KT Rolster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) · Movistar KOI0.3200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 28? · Yes0.1130.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2380.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Mexico win on 2025-10-14? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? · Yes0.2450.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5570.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 00:57Will Vox win the third-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.0852571445$10.00
10-26 17:11Will Vox win the third-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.1832797411$15.00
10-26 17:10Will PP win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.2799999978$15.00
10-26 17:10Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.1899999998$20.00
10-13 22:47Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1399999989$15.00
07-19 16:40Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETBUY0.3899998479$1.00
07-19 16:38Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.591$31.60
07-15 19:20Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.2799999731$5.00
07-12 17:11Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3799999742$5.00
07-11 23:03Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.299999982$10.00
07-10 20:39Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.1624999768$5.00
07-10 20:38Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2349999183$2.00
07-10 20:36Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.4499999212$2.00
07-10 20:36Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.454999917$2.00
07-08 22:46Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.06$3.00