0xD372b7468864233AA6D33aA2dDa181511c7804BE-1772427041432
0xd372b7468864233aa6d33aa2dda181511c7804be
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $201.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,481
- Open portfolio
- $11.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,481
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$256.80at 0.021Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on September 13?
- +$87.54at 0.903Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 26?
- +$81.18at 0.800Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 4?
- +$72.82at 0.988Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 11?
- +$64.05at 0.789Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 04:47 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.35 | $6.58 |
| 10-01 04:31 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.39 | $2.70 |
| 10-01 04:23 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.38 | $19.06 |
| 10-01 03:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.1140583333 | $1.37 |
| 10-01 02:51 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 10-01 02:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.22 | $3.30 |
| 10-01 00:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.026 | $0.26 |
| 09-30 15:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $14.57 |
| 09-30 15:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.983 | $125.53 |
| 09-30 15:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.98 | $32.04 |
| 09-30 14:58 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.981 | $28.45 |
| 09-30 06:24 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.14 |
| 09-30 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.84 |