L06an
0xd37021f7af884055bbd28523fd32be28b6d87d65
- Realised P&L
- $-67.67
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $47.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration38.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.130 | $47.01 | −$79.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET · Up | 0.727 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.24 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET · Up | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.70 |
| Will "Holy Shit" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15) · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET · Up | 0.539 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$122.60at 0.472Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
- +$72.76at 0.521Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
- +$57.19at 0.602Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
- +$43.94at 0.711Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
- +$20.62at 0.695Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 22:15 | Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3498536238 | $126.51 |
| 03-21 21:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.669999995 | $19.51 |
| 03-07 22:30 | Will "Holy Shit" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15) | BUY | 0.599999994 | $20.00 |
| 03-04 17:47 | TJR mentee Timmeh earns prop payout in 30 days? | SELL | 0.8 | $25.20 |
| 03-04 09:19 | TJR mentee Timmeh earns prop payout in 30 days? | BUY | 0.6349206349 | $20.00 |
| 02-28 18:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | SELL | 0.9909999989 | $33.68 |
| 02-28 18:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8799999988 | $29.83 |
| 02-21 20:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | SELL | 0.128962536 | $4.92 |
| 02-21 20:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7800979512 | $29.56 |
| 02-21 20:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $73.23 |
| 02-21 20:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6738010293 | $48.79 |
| 02-21 20:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | SELL | 0.3253717545 | $16.54 |
| 02-21 20:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5299999972 | $29.07 |
| 02-18 21:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $79.55 |
| 02-18 21:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999941 | $38.75 |