mrmorj
0xd3696dfbbff7a2c3c8caf5efc2ed71c8c4699b9b
- Realised P&L
- $-792.22
- Volume
- $20.8k
- Markets traded
- 206
- Open portfolio
- $196.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded206
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 10:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.65 | $2.73 |
| 09-25 10:36 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.83 | $1.03 |
| 09-25 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.999 | $34.97 |
| 09-25 07:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 09-25 07:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 09-25 01:35 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.9755 | $19.51 |
| 09-25 01:34 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 24? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-25 01:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 24? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-25 01:34 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 24? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-24 19:07 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.78 | $27.30 |
| 09-24 19:05 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.79 | $31.60 |
| 09-24 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.84 | $16.80 |
| 09-24 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.58781 | $11.76 |
| 09-24 19:02 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.82 | $16.40 |
| 09-24 19:02 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.63 | $12.60 |