PolyBot

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Traders

mrmorj

0xd3696dfbbff7a2c3c8caf5efc2ed71c8c4699b9b

Realised P&L
$-792.22
Volume
$20.8k
Markets traded
206
Open portfolio
$196.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded206
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 26? · No0.7900.745$29.80−$1.80
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 25? · No0.8400.980$19.60+$2.80
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? · No0.9400.974$19.47+$0.68
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 26? · No0.8100.920$18.40+$2.20
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 25? · No0.7500.740$14.80−$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on September 25? · No0.7800.715$14.29−$1.30
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 26? · No0.6400.645$12.90+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 26? · No0.6800.645$12.90−$0.70
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 27? · No0.6300.735$12.83+$1.83
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 25? · No0.6700.620$12.40−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 27? · No0.5900.600$12.00+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 26? · No0.4500.470$9.40+$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 26? · No0.7600.795$3.18+$0.14
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 27? · No0.6500.715$3.00+$0.27
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on September 26? · No0.8300.845$1.05+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 10:39Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 27?BUY0.65$2.73
09-25 10:36Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on September 26?BUY0.83$1.03
09-25 10:00Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 25?SELL0.999$34.97
09-25 07:04Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 25?SELL0.01$0.20
09-25 07:04Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 25?SELL0.99$19.80
09-25 01:35Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 25?SELL0.9755$19.51
09-25 01:34Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 24?SELL0.999$19.98
09-25 01:34Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 24?SELL0.999$19.98
09-25 01:34Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 24?SELL0.999$19.98
09-24 19:07Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 25?BUY0.78$27.30
09-24 19:05Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 26?BUY0.79$31.60
09-24 19:04Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 25?BUY0.84$16.80
09-24 19:04Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 24?BUY0.58781$11.76
09-24 19:02Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 25?BUY0.82$16.40
09-24 19:02Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 24?BUY0.63$12.60